Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Slater leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.6%
Defensive zone
Slater 94.2%
Neutral zone
Slater 60.8%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Slater
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Slater
Duchene
Last 10: Slater 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Slater
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
3
0
Slater
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
3
1
Slater
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
53.9% (10,438)
+5.0%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
57.0% (1,677)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
49.1% (468)
+2.3%
On power play, Slater has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Slater
Duchene
Home
60.9% (1,436)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Slater
Duchene
P1
57.0%
54.4%
P2
55.6%
54.5%
P3
58.4%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jim Slater |