Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kulich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kulich wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 45.3% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 57.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 92.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 83.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Kulich
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kulich
Kastelic
Last 8: Kulich 5-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
4
0
Kulich
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Kulich
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
0
Kulich
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (661)
57.0% (1,635)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.8% (47)
80.0% (25)
-33.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
53.8% (279)
-25.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kulich is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Kulich shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Kulich
Kastelic
Home
46.0% (365)
58.7% (904)
Away
43.1% (357)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Kulich
Kastelic
P1
47.0%
58.6%
P2
46.3%
56.5%
P3
40.8%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |