Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Hecht
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hecht
Staal
Last 8: Hecht 5-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Hecht
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
55.9% (14,654)
-12.7%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
62.7% (1,762)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
47.9% (2,907)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Hecht
Staal
Home
45.5% (714)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
40.7% (668)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Hecht
Staal
P1
41.9%
55.2%
P2
44.7%
55.9%
P3
43.1%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |