Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hecht wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Peverley 57.7% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 85.1%
Defensive zone
Hecht 86.4%
Neutral zone
Hecht 87.8%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Hecht
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Hecht
Peverley
Last 10: Hecht 4-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
3
Hecht
Peverley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
4
2
Hecht
Peverley
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
5
Hecht
Peverley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
58.0% (1,715)
-14.8%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
57.0% (391)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
59.2% (333)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Hecht is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Hecht shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Hecht
Peverley
Home
45.5% (714)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
40.7% (668)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Hecht
Peverley
P1
41.9%
59.6%
P2
44.7%
57.8%
P3
43.1%
57.0%
OT
40.0%
51.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |