Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Ebbett
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ebbett
Pavelski
Last 7: Ebbett 5-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
4
0
Ebbett
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Ebbett
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
53.4% (682)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
48.1% (160)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Ebbett is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Ebbett shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Pavelski
Home
49.2% (128)
59.0% (527)
Away
40.6% (101)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Ebbett
Pavelski
P1
49.3%
50.8%
P2
44.0%
58.9%
P3
42.5%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
37.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |