Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dunne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Dunne 45.9% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 94.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 78.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 92.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Pavelski
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Pavelski
Dunne
Last 5: Pavelski 5-0 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Dunne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Dunne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
45.5% (167)
+8.1%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
37.5% (8)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
0.0% (6)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Dunne is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Dunne
Home
56.4% (5,998)
48.3% (60)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Pavelski
Dunne
P1
53.5%
39.2%
P2
55.2%
50.9%
P3
53.9%
41.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Dunne
58.0%▲
43.6%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |