Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Eller 52.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 75.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Pavelski
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Pavelski
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
52.8% (742)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
67.6% (34)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
46.2% (156)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Eller
Home
53.1% (339)
54.5% (448)
Away
49.2% (356)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Pavelski
Eller
P1
53.8%
52.8%
P2
47.8%
50.9%
P3
50.2%
53.4%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |