Joe Pavelski vs Lauri Korpikoski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Korpikoski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Korpikoski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Korpikoski 40.9% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Korpikoski leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 59.8%
Defensive zone
Korpikoski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Korpikoski 57.9%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Pavelski
Korpikoski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Pavelski
Korpikoski
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Korpikoski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
2
4
Pavelski
Korpikoski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Korpikoski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Korpikoski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Korpikoski
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
39.3% (323)
+14.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
38.5% (52)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
37.7% (61)
+13.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Korpikoski shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Korpikoski is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Korpikoski
Home
56.4% (5,998)
39.7% (232)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
37.9% (206)
By Period
Pavelski
Korpikoski
P1
53.5%
35.5%
P2
55.2%
39.3%
P3
53.9%
43.5%
OT
52.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Feb 9, 2013 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |