Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Jankowski 50.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 51.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Pavelski
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pavelski
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Pavelski
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Pavelski
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Pavelski
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
49.3% (134)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
37.5% (8)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
61.9% (21)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Jankowski
Home
53.1% (339)
54.2% (72)
Away
49.2% (356)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Pavelski
Jankowski
P1
53.8%
54.2%
P2
47.8%
42.4%
P3
50.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |