Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Fisher 51.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 37-26 in 63 meetings
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Pavelski
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
26
(63 meetings)
37
26
Pavelski
Fisher
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
10
12
Pavelski
Fisher
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
12
7
Pavelski
Fisher
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
15
7
Pavelski
Fisher
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
51.4% (6,100)
+2.2%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
53.8% (1,126)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
48.8% (781)
+2.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Fisher
Home
56.4% (5,998)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Pavelski
Fisher
P1
53.5%
49.6%
P2
55.2%
52.8%
P3
53.9%
52.2%
OT
52.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |