Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Laughton 50.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 75.7%
Defensive zone
Laughton 58.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Pavelski
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Pavelski
Laughton
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Pavelski
Laughton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
1
Pavelski
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
53.1% (636)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
63.6% (44)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
30.9% (94)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Laughton is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Laughton
Home
55.0% (391)
53.7% (454)
Away
49.7% (360)
47.2% (320)
By Period
Pavelski
Laughton
P1
50.8%
48.4%
P2
55.0%
51.5%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |