Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Pavelski
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
57.6% (1,061)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
65.1% (338)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
49.5% (101)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Trocheck
Home
53.1% (339)
61.8% (735)
Away
49.2% (356)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Pavelski
Trocheck
P1
53.8%
57.7%
P2
47.8%
57.9%
P3
50.2%
60.4%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |