Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Okposo 48.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Okposo leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Okposo 75.5%
Defensive zone
Okposo 51.4%
Neutral zone
Okposo 58.1%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Thornton
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Thornton
Okposo
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
3
Thornton
Okposo
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Okposo
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
2
Thornton
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
49.1% (1,513)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.1% (391)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
39.7% (151)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Thornton
Okposo
Home
55.8% (4,271)
50.2% (990)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Thornton
Okposo
P1
55.0%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.6%
P3
54.4%
47.3%
OT
56.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |