Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Thornton
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
54.0% (955)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.6% (243)
-5.6%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Thornton
Zibanejad
Home
41.5% (106)
55.2% (656)
Away
47.8% (69)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Thornton
Zibanejad
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
41.0%
50.0%
P3
40.0%
51.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%