Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Acciari 51.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 91.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 71.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 71.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Thornton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Thornton
Acciari
Last 10: Thornton 8-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Thornton
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.8% (3,304)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
48.3% (87)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
47.0% (1,073)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Thornton
Acciari
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Thornton
Acciari
P1
55.0%
52.3%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
54.4%
50.2%
OT
56.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |