Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Sharp 50.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 65.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 86.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Thornton
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Thornton
Sharp
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Thornton
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Sharp
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
2
Thornton
Sharp
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.4% (1,085)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.6% (180)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
40.9% (44)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Thornton
Sharp
Home
55.8% (4,271)
53.2% (688)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Thornton
Sharp
P1
55.0%
48.0%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
54.4%
51.7%
OT
56.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 5, 2014 | OT | 03:18 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |