Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Zacha 49.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 78.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 63.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 78.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Thornton
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Thornton
Zacha
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
0
Thornton
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Thornton
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
48.9% (5,156)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
55.7% (813)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.2% (557)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Thornton
Zacha
Home
55.8% (4,271)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Thornton
Zacha
P1
55.0%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
49.2%
P3
54.4%
48.2%
OT
56.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |