Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 49-36 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 59.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Thornton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
36
(85 meetings)
49
36
Thornton
Monahan
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
14
14
Thornton
Monahan
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
17
5
Thornton
Monahan
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
18
17
Thornton
Monahan
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
45.9% (772)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Thornton
Monahan
Home
55.8% (4,271)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Thornton
Monahan
P1
55.0%
51.0%
P2
53.3%
51.7%
P3
54.4%
51.0%
OT
56.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | OT | 00:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |