Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Thornton
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Thornton
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thornton
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
56.5% (712)
-13.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
59.7% (67)
-9.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Thornton
Seguin
Home
41.5% (106)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.8% (69)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Thornton
Seguin
P1
50.8%
58.4%
P2
41.0%
54.7%
P3
40.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |