Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 60.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 63.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 59.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Veleno
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Veleno
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
56.2% (989)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
42.7% (253)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
49.6% (123)
55.4% (699)
Away
52.2% (184)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
54.1%
55.7%
P2
48.8%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |