Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Norris 52.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 85.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 77.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 80.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Veleno
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Veleno
Norris
Last 10: Veleno 3-7 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
5
Veleno
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
1
Veleno
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
12
Veleno
Norris
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
52.5% (3,089)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
53.4% (412)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
45.4% (240)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Veleno
Norris
Home
45.3% (1,136)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Veleno
Norris
P1
47.9%
55.5%
P2
47.7%
51.5%
P3
45.9%
50.1%
OT
35.7%
39.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |