Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kirkland 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Veleno
Kirkland
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Kirkland
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Kirkland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
2
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
3
Veleno
Kirkland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kirkland
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
51.0% (102)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
47.8% (23)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Kirkland has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kirkland shoots left. Veleno is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Veleno shoots left. Kirkland is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kirkland
Home
49.6% (123)
50.0% (60)
Away
52.5% (162)
50.0% (66)
By Period
Veleno
Kirkland
P1
53.8%
55.6%
P2
47.8%
44.2%
P3
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |