Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kunin 46.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 57.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 58.4%
Neutral zone
Kunin 60.1%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Veleno
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Veleno
Kunin
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
4
Veleno
Kunin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Kunin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
47.0% (1,667)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.0% (139)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
40.3% (335)
-3.9%
On power play, Veleno has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kunin
Home
45.3% (1,136)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Veleno
Kunin
P1
47.9%
47.7%
P2
47.7%
45.7%
P3
45.9%
44.1%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |