Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Veleno
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Veleno
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Veleno
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
60.8% (362)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
56.2% (146)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kastelic
Home
49.6% (123)
60.3% (242)
Away
52.2% (184)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Veleno
Kastelic
P1
54.1%
58.9%
P2
48.8%
57.3%
P3
52.6%
64.0%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.3%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |