Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 85.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 68.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Veleno
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Veleno
Scheifele
Last 7: Veleno 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Veleno
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
5
0
Veleno
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Veleno
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
46.5% (919)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
50.0% (54)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Veleno
Scheifele
Home
49.6% (123)
46.6% (605)
Away
52.2% (184)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Veleno
Scheifele
P1
54.1%
52.3%
P2
48.8%
45.3%
P3
52.6%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |