Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Poitras 45.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 83.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 71.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Veleno
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Veleno
Poitras
Last 8: Veleno 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Poitras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,301)
43.7% (378)
+3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
55.6% (9)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (82)
66.7% (3)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (873).
Veleno shoots left. Poitras is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poitras
Home
45.3% (1,136)
43.6% (195)
Away
48.6% (1,345)
44.6% (195)
By Period
Veleno
Poitras
P1
47.8%
41.2%
P2
47.5%
46.0%
P3
46.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Poitras
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |