Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Barron 46.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 89.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 75.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Veleno
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Veleno
Barron
Last 6: Veleno 5-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
48.6% (381)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
41.7% (187)
-3.8%
On even strength, Veleno has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Veleno
Barron
Home
49.6% (123)
44.4% (306)
Away
52.2% (184)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Veleno
Barron
P1
54.1%
45.5%
P2
48.8%
49.8%
P3
52.6%
43.1%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |