Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kadri 49.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 70.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Veleno
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
49.4% (688)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
38.5% (13)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Veleno is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Veleno shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kadri
Home
49.6% (123)
49.1% (407)
Away
52.5% (162)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Veleno
Kadri
P1
53.8%
56.4%
P2
47.8%
51.7%
P3
54.5%
41.4%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |