Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kadri 46.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 77.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 61.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Veleno
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
46.5% (866)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
38.5% (13)
-0.6%
On even strength, Veleno has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kadri
Home
49.6% (123)
45.8% (513)
Away
52.2% (184)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Veleno
Kadri
P1
54.1%
52.4%
P2
48.8%
48.5%
P3
52.6%
39.7%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |