Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 61.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Veleno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Veleno
Suzuki
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Veleno
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Veleno
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
49.4% (6,368)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
50.8% (1,355)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
44.0% (466)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Veleno
Suzuki
Home
45.3% (1,136)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Veleno
Suzuki
P1
47.9%
48.9%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
45.9%
50.3%
OT
35.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |