Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Acciari 50.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 74.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 77.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Veleno
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Veleno
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Veleno
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
52.7% (313)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
49.7% (195)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Veleno
Acciari
Home
49.6% (123)
52.6% (291)
Away
52.2% (184)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Veleno
Acciari
P1
54.1%
53.7%
P2
48.8%
51.1%
P3
52.6%
48.5%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |