Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Greig 49.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 53.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 59.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Veleno
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Veleno
Greig
Last 6: Veleno 2-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Veleno
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Veleno
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
48.7% (1,144)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
56.8% (74)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
47.2% (178)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Veleno
Greig
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Veleno
Greig
P1
47.9%
46.0%
P2
47.7%
51.8%
P3
45.9%
49.1%
OT
35.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |