Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Thomas 51.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 90.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 72.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 82.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Veleno
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Veleno
Thomas
Last 10: Veleno 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
5
2
Veleno
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
0
Veleno
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
51.1% (5,387)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
55.8% (927)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
50.2% (697)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thomas
Home
45.3% (1,136)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Veleno
Thomas
P1
47.9%
50.7%
P2
47.7%
53.0%
P3
45.9%
50.8%
OT
35.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |