Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Strome 42.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 58.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Veleno
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Veleno
Strome
Last 5: Veleno 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Veleno
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
41.2% (1,040)
+5.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.0% (151)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
51.4% (35)
-26.4%
On power play, Veleno has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Veleno shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Veleno
Strome
Home
47.8% (201)
40.1% (581)
Away
46.1% (228)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Veleno
Strome
P1
48.8%
41.4%
P2
47.9%
42.9%
P3
44.2%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.9%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |