Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Helenius 46.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 57.1%
Defensive zone
Helenius 63.1%
Neutral zone
Helenius 61.7%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Veleno
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Veleno
Helenius
Last 8: Veleno 1-7 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
2
Veleno
Helenius
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Veleno
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Veleno
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
46.3% (488)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
0.0% (2)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
20.0% (5)
+16.4%
On power play, Veleno has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Helenius is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Veleno
Helenius
Home
45.3% (1,136)
44.5% (272)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
47.5% (223)
By Period
Veleno
Helenius
P1
47.9%
50.6%
P2
47.7%
40.1%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |