Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Veleno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
52.6% (464)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
46.5% (155)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kuraly
Home
49.6% (123)
55.9% (322)
Away
52.2% (184)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Veleno
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
55.9%
P2
48.8%
46.7%
P3
52.6%
50.7%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |