Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bardakov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Bardakov 45.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bardakov 54.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Veleno
Bardakov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Bardakov
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Bardakov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Bardakov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Bardakov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Bardakov
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
42.2% (161)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
50.0% (2)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Bardakov has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bardakov shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Bardakov is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Veleno
Bardakov
Home
45.3% (1,136)
48.7% (76)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Veleno
Bardakov
P1
47.9%
39.0%
P2
47.7%
39.7%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Bardakov
38.0%▼
42.3%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Zakhar Bardakov |