Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 50.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 88.4%
Neutral zone
Vitale 72.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Vitale
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Vitale
Toews
Last 10: Vitale 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
9
Vitale
Toews
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
57.2% (13,079)
-1.3%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
63.3% (3,254)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
53.6% (1,810)
-6.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Home / Away
Vitale
Toews
Home
56.1% (1,050)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Vitale
Toews
P1
52.9%
58.6%
P2
53.8%
57.9%
P3
57.5%
57.3%
OT
72.7%
58.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |