Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Stajan 49.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 78.9%
Defensive zone
Vitale 76.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 72.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Vitale
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Vitale
Stajan
Last 8: Vitale 5-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Vitale
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
2
Vitale
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
50.2% (4,944)
+5.7%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
43.2% (176)
+32.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
46.1% (864)
+1.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Vitale
Stajan
Home
56.1% (1,050)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Vitale
Stajan
P1
52.9%
50.3%
P2
53.8%
48.5%
P3
57.5%
49.4%
OT
72.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |