Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zalewski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zalewski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Zalewski 50.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 56.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 89.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 77.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Vitale
Zalewski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vitale
Zalewski
Last 6: Vitale 4-2 Zalewski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zalewski
1
2
Vitale
Zalewski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Zalewski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Zalewski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Zalewski
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
48.8% (43)
+7.1%
On even strength, Vitale has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zalewski shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Zalewski is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Vitale
Zalewski
Home
56.1% (1,050)
63.2% (19)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Vitale
Zalewski
P1
52.9%
64.3%
P2
53.8%
47.1%
P3
57.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Zalewski
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |