Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.3%). Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Zajac 54.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 56.9%
Defensive zone
Vitale 64.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 50.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Vitale
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Vitale
Zajac
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Vitale
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Vitale
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
54.4% (9,056)
+1.5%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
59.1% (1,498)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.6% (1,599)
-1.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Vitale
Zajac
Home
56.1% (1,050)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Vitale
Zajac
P1
52.9%
53.8%
P2
53.8%
55.6%
P3
57.5%
53.6%
OT
72.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 23, 2015 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |