Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 66.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 67.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 63.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Ek
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Ek
Staal
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Ek
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Ek
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
56.2% (989)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
66.0% (159)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
42.7% (253)
+5.2%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Ek
Staal
Home
49.9% (693)
55.4% (699)
Away
48.3% (625)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Ek
Staal
P1
47.4%
55.7%
P2
53.1%
54.7%
P3
46.3%
53.4%
OT
54.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |