Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 67.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 82.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 67.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Ek
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ek
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
31.9% (91)
+16.2%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
64.3% (14)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
0.0% (1)
+47.9%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Ek
Hayes
Home
49.9% (693)
30.6% (49)
Away
48.3% (625)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Ek
Hayes
P1
47.4%
22.9%
P2
53.1%
40.0%
P3
46.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |