Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ek
Carlsson
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
5
Ek
Carlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Ek
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
45.0% (695)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
46.4% (84)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
32.9% (85)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
49.9% (693)
42.5% (435)
Away
48.3% (625)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
47.4%
45.3%
P2
53.1%
38.7%
P3
46.3%
48.5%
OT
54.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |