Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 50.0%). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Kasper 50.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 51.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Ek
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ek
Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
0
2
Ek
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
51.4% (366)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
33.3% (9)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
31.6% (19)
+16.3%
On power play, Ek has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Ek
Kasper
Home
49.9% (693)
51.5% (194)
Away
48.3% (625)
48.5% (200)
By Period
Ek
Kasper
P1
47.4%
54.1%
P2
53.1%
52.1%
P3
46.3%
43.4%
OT
54.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |