Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 76.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Ek
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ek
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Ek
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
60.8% (362)
-12.7%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
83.3% (6)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
56.2% (146)
-8.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Ek
Kastelic
Home
49.9% (693)
60.3% (242)
Away
48.3% (625)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Ek
Kastelic
P1
47.4%
58.9%
P2
53.1%
57.3%
P3
46.3%
64.0%
OT
54.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |