Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Barzal 41.9% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Ek
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
40.9% (469)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
34.2% (38)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
28.6% (7)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Ek
Barzal
Home
49.9% (693)
39.2% (250)
Away
48.3% (625)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Ek
Barzal
P1
47.4%
46.3%
P2
53.1%
36.7%
P3
46.3%
38.5%
OT
54.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%