Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Kadri 46.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Ek
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ek
Kadri
Last 8: Ek 4-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Ek
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
46.5% (866)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
48.8% (86)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
38.5% (13)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Ek
Kadri
Home
49.9% (693)
45.8% (513)
Away
48.3% (625)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Ek
Kadri
P1
47.4%
52.4%
P2
53.1%
48.5%
P3
46.3%
39.7%
OT
54.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |