Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.9%). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 61.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Ek
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ek
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
49.5% (291)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
55.8% (43)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
47.2% (53)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Ek
Foligno
Home
49.9% (693)
48.9% (178)
Away
48.3% (625)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Ek
Foligno
P1
47.4%
43.0%
P2
53.1%
55.9%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | OT | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |