Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Acciari 50.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 85.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Ek
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ek
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Ek
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
52.7% (313)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
33.3% (18)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
49.7% (195)
-1.8%
On power play, Ek has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Ek
Acciari
Home
49.9% (693)
52.6% (291)
Away
48.3% (625)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Ek
Acciari
P1
47.4%
53.7%
P2
53.1%
51.1%
P3
46.3%
48.5%
OT
54.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |