Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Kelly 41.4% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.6%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Ek
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ek
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Ek
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
36.5% (159)
+11.6%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
0.0% (1)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
38.5% (13)
+9.4%
On power play, Ek has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Ek
Kelly
Home
49.9% (693)
35.4% (79)
Away
48.3% (625)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Ek
Kelly
P1
47.4%
33.8%
P2
53.1%
36.5%
P3
46.3%
39.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |